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| + | Conservatives and Labour, who are both on 31 percent, are only six points ahead of the UKIP, with the Liberal Democrats lagging far behind on a mere 11 percent.<br> | ||
| − | + | Specifically, "experts predict this would give a general election result of Labour 253 MPs, Conservatives 187, UKIP 128, Liberal Democrats 11, and other parties 71," according to .<br> | |
| − | + | "If UKIP are to turn votes into Commons seats in Britain's first-past-the-post system, they need to build up bastions of local strength. Today's poll suggests they may have begun to do that," Professor John Curtice from Strathclyde University, the Mail on Sunday.<br> | |
| − | + | "The 25 percent level represents a 22-point increase on the 3 percent the party won in 2010. If that increase were to occur evenly in every constituency, they could still fail to pick up a single seat."<br> | |
| − | + | "But today's poll suggests UKIP's support has increased much more in the south of England outside London than it has elsewhere in the UK - by a staggering 34 points. If that level was recorded throughout the South, UKIP could win as many as 128 seats, with no less than 102 of them coming from the Conservatives, whose vote in the region is down 14 points," he continued.<br> | |
| − | + | "In that event, Cameron would be left with just 187 seats, almost as weak a position as the Conservatives were in after their calamitous defeat in 1997. Mr. Farage would achieve his ambition of holding the balance of power at Westminster. Any poll estimate of what is going on in an individual region is inevitably not as robust as that for the country as a whole."<br> | |
| − | + | "However, if UKIP are advancing more strongly in some parts of the South, its chances of establishing itself as a significant force at Westminster may well be higher than has so far been appreciated," he said.<br> | |
| − | + | In order to form a majority government, 326 MPs are required. Since joining forces between Conservatives and UKIP would bring them to a total of 315 MPs, they will most probably "rely on the Democratic Unionist Party to do a deal with them over their eight MPs, bringing them tantalizingly close to being able to form an anti-European government," according to Breitbart.<br> | |
| − | + | The telephone poll was conducted after Douglas Carswell's victory for UKIP in the Clacton by-election last week.<br><p>Related Articles:</p><ul><li></li><li></li><li></li></ul> | |
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Revision as of 11:46, 1 November 2014
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Conservatives and Labour, who are both on 31 percent, are only six points ahead of the UKIP, with the Liberal Democrats lagging far behind on a mere 11 percent.
Specifically, "experts predict this would give a general election result of Labour 253 MPs, Conservatives 187, UKIP 128, Liberal Democrats 11, and other parties 71," according to .
"If UKIP are to turn votes into Commons seats in Britain's first-past-the-post system, they need to build up bastions of local strength. Today's poll suggests they may have begun to do that," Professor John Curtice from Strathclyde University, the Mail on Sunday.
"The 25 percent level represents a 22-point increase on the 3 percent the party won in 2010. If that increase were to occur evenly in every constituency, they could still fail to pick up a single seat."
"But today's poll suggests UKIP's support has increased much more in the south of England outside London than it has elsewhere in the UK - by a staggering 34 points. If that level was recorded throughout the South, UKIP could win as many as 128 seats, with no less than 102 of them coming from the Conservatives, whose vote in the region is down 14 points," he continued.
"In that event, Cameron would be left with just 187 seats, almost as weak a position as the Conservatives were in after their calamitous defeat in 1997. Mr. Farage would achieve his ambition of holding the balance of power at Westminster. Any poll estimate of what is going on in an individual region is inevitably not as robust as that for the country as a whole."
"However, if UKIP are advancing more strongly in some parts of the South, its chances of establishing itself as a significant force at Westminster may well be higher than has so far been appreciated," he said.
In order to form a majority government, 326 MPs are required. Since joining forces between Conservatives and UKIP would bring them to a total of 315 MPs, they will most probably "rely on the Democratic Unionist Party to do a deal with them over their eight MPs, bringing them tantalizingly close to being able to form an anti-European government," according to Breitbart.
Related Articles:
