Difference between revisions of "User:RahalMccall69"

Revision as of 15:09, 25 September 2014

@@@ A couple notes: the cut-off for a QBR drop that I considered significant was a drop of around 20 points. Some QBs barely missed the <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Bracelets-Tie-Clip-Wholesale-Belts.html>Gucci Bracelets</a> cut-offs (see Roethlisberger), but I decided to include them anyways. Also, Rodgers obviously didn't have a "bad" game week 1, but he did drop his QBR by ~30 points, so I decided to include him as well. Let's Take a Closer Look.

The average change in yearly QBR for these QBs is -11.68

This is actually the most disheartening statistic. What this really means is that Romo will probably have a significantly worse season this year, judging by his performance in the first game. None of the QBs who had a significant drop in their first game was able to even get close to their previous year's performance (at least in terms of QBR).

No QB had a drop as drastic as Romo did

This kind of builds on the previous point, but Romo had a drop of -35.9 points. In our group of QBs only Rodgers gets close to that, and he was playing with a completely ridiculous 122.5 QBR the previous year. What this means is that the Romo we know and love could be a lot worse than we had hoped this year, maybe one of the worst years yet. This does not bode well for the team. However...

Out of all the teams with QBs that we able to stay above 80 QBR, only the  and  had a losing record

Okay, now we're talking blue kool-aid. Yeah, yeah I know correlation, causation whatever, but the fact remains there's some knowledge to be gained here. This is actually the main reason why <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Belts-Online-Winter-Boots-China-Womens-Loafers.html>Gucci Winter Boots</a> I think the might not be so bad this year. Looking at the teams that ended badly: Redskins are always a shaky team, especially in these past few years with RG3's knee and all. The Saints in 2012 had a horrible defense that gave up the most yards and second most points. I really doubt Romo's supporting cast this year could be as bad as those two teams. So there's still a little bit of hope for our Cowboys, especially since the 2013 won their division 12-4. Bad news is, none of the teams who had QBs below 80 QBR made it to playoffs.

Good QBs...stay good

Again going off the previous point, all 3 of the "elite" (ugh) Quarterbacks who laid an egg their first game still managed a pretty good QBR at the end of the year. Brady, Brees, and Rodgers each were above 87 QBR that year, and also still created a situation for their team to at least have a shot at a winning record. (Though <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-Vintage-Shopping-Bag-Optical.html>Gucci Shopping Bag</a> we already discussed why Brees's 2012 team did not make it) I chose to think Romo is closer to Brees and Brady than he is to RGIII and Michael Vick, so there is reason to think Romo will bounce back better than expected. Conclusion Okay, so the prognosis isn't too great. Romo is all but certain to decline this year, and very few teams with a QB that has declined make it to playoffs. There is still a little bit of hope, as evidenced by both Rodgers and Brady, if Romo can at least maintain a respectable QBR and the defense maintains its performance from week 1, we could end up with a team that is at least vying for a wildcard spot. If not, however, we could be in for a pretty rough year.

Difference between revisions of "User:RahalMccall69"

Revision as of 15:09, 25 September 2014

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-Though senior safety Ryan Keiser called the team's reaction pure excitement and just joy, he repeatedly said players were thankful and appreciative. Center Angelo Mangiro said the offensive line was watching film of Rutgers 10 minutes after the meeting. And Franklin made an important distinction regarding bowl games. It's amazing how many people texted me and emailed me last night and said, 'How awesome that you're bowl-eligible,' Franklin said. We're not bowl-eligible. We have an opportunity to go to a bowl game. We need to make sure that we can take care of our business this week, which is Rutgers. Still, Franklin acknowledged the decision's importance to the program. For the past two years, players said they competed primarily for the fans, the university and each other.But, because of the scholarship limits, Penn State was forced to play with caveats. The team limited <a href=http://www.alportico.net/page.php?sale=Gucci-Shoulder-Bag>Gucci Shoulder Bag</a>  hitting in practice, sought more walk-ons and exhausted itself to build creative depth charts.According to the initial 2012 sanctions, this season was supposed to be the first of four in which Penn State would field 65 scholarship players. The NCAA restored some of those scholarships last year. Now, Penn State will return to full scholarship strength three seasons before initially scheduled. Now there's nothing being held back from them, in terms of opportunities, Franklin said. They have the ability to chase their dreams now. Both Hull and Franklin said that Penn State owed plenty to former coach Bill O'Brien, now with the Houston Texans. Matt Millen, a former Penn State player who is tight with O'Brien, said that the coach spent his two seasons at Penn State doing everything in his power to get the sanctions reduced. I actually texted Billy last night thanking him for all that he's done the last couple years, because I think he's had a huge role in what's happened here, Franklin said.Hull praised three of his head coaches (Franklin, O'Brien and 2011 interim coach Tom Bradley) for helping the team navigate the last three years. It wasn't easy for any of the guys to take over in the position we were in, Hull said. They all did their part, and we owe them <a href=http://www.alportico.net/page.php?sale=Gucci-For-Men>Gucci For Men</a>  a lot. On Monday night, thousands of students and Penn State fans visited Beaver Stadium, where they sang the national anthem and cheered for Joe Paterno, and downtown State College, where they celebrated in the area known as Beaver canyon.Penn State and State College police reported no significant incidents. Franklin said that was OK, so long as no one got hurt and nothing was damaged. I think <Monday> night was an opportunity for maybe that pride to explode and that excitement to explode, because again I think it's part of the feeling <at>Penn State], Franklin said. It's part of us moving forward. Franklin said the prospect of sanction reductions was not a component of his Penn State interview in December, nor did he make overt references with recruits. Former Sen. George Mitchell, Penn State's athletics integrity monitor, recommended the sanctions reductions as part of his annual report. Mitchell did the same last year, which led to a gradual restoration of scholarships.Players said Monday's announcement surprised the team. They returned to practice Tuesday with renewed motivation. It allows people to realize they're not playing just for each or our university anymore, Hull said. Our wins mean something. If we do a good job on Saturdays, we'll have a reward at the end of the season with <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Michael-Kors-Gunmetal-Watch>Michael Kors Gunmetal Watch</a>  either the Big Ten championship game or a bowl game. That gives us a lot more motivation and excitement. PENN STATE VS. RUTGERSWHEN: 8 p.m. SaturdayWHERE: High Point Solutions Stadium, Piscataway, N.J.TV: Big Ten NetworkRADIO: WAEB AM-790 Copyright 2014,
+A couple notes: the cut-off for a QBR drop that I considered significant was a drop of around 20 points. Some QBs barely missed the <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Bracelets-Tie-Clip-Wholesale-Belts.html>Gucci Bracelets</a>  cut-offs (see Roethlisberger), but I decided to include them anyways. Also, Rodgers obviously didn't have a "bad" game week 1, but he did drop his QBR by ~30 points, so I decided to include him as well.
+Let's Take a Closer Look.
+ The average change in yearly QBR for these QBs is -11.68
+This is actually the most disheartening statistic. What this really means is that Romo will probably have a significantly worse season this year, judging by his performance in the first game. None of the QBs who had a significant drop in their first game was able to even get close to their previous year's performance (at least in terms of QBR).
+ No QB had a drop as drastic as Romo did
+This kind of builds on the previous point, but Romo had a drop of -35.9 points. In our group of QBs only Rodgers gets close to that, and he was playing with a completely ridiculous 122.5 QBR the previous year. What this means is that the Romo we know and love could be a lot worse than we had hoped this year, maybe one of the worst years yet. This does not bode well for the team. However...
+ Out of all the teams with QBs that we able to stay above 80 QBR, only the  and  had a losing record
+Okay, now we're talking blue kool-aid. Yeah, yeah I know correlation, causation whatever, but the fact remains there's some knowledge to be gained here. This is actually the main reason why <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Belts-Online-Winter-Boots-China-Womens-Loafers.html>Gucci Winter Boots</a>  I think the  might not be so bad this year. Looking at the teams that ended badly: Redskins are always a shaky team, especially in these past few years with RG3's knee and all. The Saints in 2012 had a horrible defense that gave up the most yards and second most points. I really doubt Romo's supporting cast this year could be as bad as those two teams. So there's still a little bit of hope for our Cowboys, especially since the 2013  won their division 12-4. Bad news is, none of the teams who had QBs below 80 QBR made it to playoffs.
+ Good QBs...stay good
+Again going off the previous point, all 3 of the "elite" (ugh) Quarterbacks who laid an egg their first game still managed a pretty good QBR at the end of the year. Brady, Brees, and Rodgers each were above 87 QBR that year, and also still created a situation for their team to at least have a shot at a winning record. (Though <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-Vintage-Shopping-Bag-Optical.html>Gucci Shopping Bag</a>  we already discussed why Brees's 2012 team did not make it) I chose to think Romo is closer to Brees and Brady than he is to RGIII and Michael Vick, so there is reason to think Romo will bounce back better than expected.
+Conclusion
+Okay, so the prognosis isn't too great. Romo is all but certain to decline this year, and very few teams with a QB that has declined make it to playoffs. There is still a little bit of hope, as evidenced by both Rodgers and Brady, if Romo can at least maintain a respectable QBR and the defense maintains its performance from week 1, we could end up with a team that is at least vying for a wildcard spot. If not, however, we could be in for a pretty rough year.