Difference between revisions of "User:RahalMccall69"
(Surgery on a dog, a Great Dane, yields 43陆 socks) |
(What Does The Dallas Cowboys 0) |
||
| Line 1: | Line 1: | ||
@@@ | @@@ | ||
| − | + | Not so fast. Since realignment in 2002, 98 of the 144 playoff <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Envy-Me-Sneakers-Cheap-Large-Tote.html>Gucci Envy Me</a> teams won their season opener. But 46 teams made the playoffs after losing their season opener. | |
| − | + | Because of the brevity of the NFL season with just 16 games, every game carries an inordinate weight in determining a team's playoff odds. After just one week of play, the playoff odds have shifted significantly from the 37.5% all teams shared before kickoff weekend. Overall, 51% of the teams who have won their season opener since 2002 also made the playoffs (98 of 192 teams). Conversely, only 24% of the teams that lost their season opener eventually made the playoffs over the same period (46/192). | |
| − | + | Yet nothing is lost for teams like the , who stumbled out of the gate on opening weekend. Because the brevity of the NFL season also means that if <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Discount-Shoes-Com-Slippers-Clutch.html>Gucci Slippers</a> you string together a couple of wins, you'll be back in the thick of the playoff race. The image below shows how the playoff odds have developed over the last 12 seasons from Week 1 through Week 4: | |
| − | + | ||
| − | + | ||
| + | In principle, there's no reason why the Cowboys shouldn't be able to win their next couple of games, and climb back to 50% playoff odds by Week 3 with a 2-1 record. In principle. | ||
| + | But that assumes that the Cowboys did indeed stumble out of the block on Sunday, and <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-Umbrella-Chains-Sneakers.html>Gucci Handbags Outlet</a> that their loss to the is not indicative of a bigger issue. If it's the latter, then this chart has an ugly message: Another loss would drop the Cowboys' playoff odds to a little below one in 10, and three consecutive losses to start the season means we can start planning for next year. | ||
| + | And I for one do not want to look at mock drafts in September. | ||
Revision as of 03:32, 1 October 2014
@@@ Not so fast. Since realignment in 2002, 98 of the 144 playoff <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Envy-Me-Sneakers-Cheap-Large-Tote.html>Gucci Envy Me</a> teams won their season opener. But 46 teams made the playoffs after losing their season opener. Because of the brevity of the NFL season with just 16 games, every game carries an inordinate weight in determining a team's playoff odds. After just one week of play, the playoff odds have shifted significantly from the 37.5% all teams shared before kickoff weekend. Overall, 51% of the teams who have won their season opener since 2002 also made the playoffs (98 of 192 teams). Conversely, only 24% of the teams that lost their season opener eventually made the playoffs over the same period (46/192). Yet nothing is lost for teams like the , who stumbled out of the gate on opening weekend. Because the brevity of the NFL season also means that if <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Discount-Shoes-Com-Slippers-Clutch.html>Gucci Slippers</a> you string together a couple of wins, you'll be back in the thick of the playoff race. The image below shows how the playoff odds have developed over the last 12 seasons from Week 1 through Week 4:
In principle, there's no reason why the Cowboys shouldn't be able to win their next couple of games, and climb back to 50% playoff odds by Week 3 with a 2-1 record. In principle.
But that assumes that the Cowboys did indeed stumble out of the block on Sunday, and <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-Umbrella-Chains-Sneakers.html>Gucci Handbags Outlet</a> that their loss to the is not indicative of a bigger issue. If it's the latter, then this chart has an ugly message: Another loss would drop the Cowboys' playoff odds to a little below one in 10, and three consecutive losses to start the season means we can start planning for next year.
And I for one do not want to look at mock drafts in September.