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(NFL 2014 Season- Top Five Suprises from Week 1)
(What Does The Dallas Cowboys 0)
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Not so fast. Since realignment in 2002, 98 of the 144 playoff <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Sale-Online-Authentic-Wallet-Group-Coupons.html>Gucci Sale Online</a>  teams won their season opener. But 46 teams made the playoffs after losing their season opener.
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Because of the brevity of the NFL season with just 16 games, every game carries an inordinate weight in determining a team's playoff odds. After just one week of play, the playoff odds have shifted significantly from the 37.5% all teams shared before kickoff weekend. Overall, 51% of the teams who have won their season opener since 2002 also made the playoffs (98 of 192 teams). Conversely, only 24% of the teams that lost their season opener eventually made the playoffs over the same period (46/192).
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Yet nothing is lost for teams like the , who stumbled out of the gate on opening weekend. Because the brevity of the NFL season also means that if <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Mens-Clothing-Chain-Bangle-Watch.html>Gucci Chain</a>  you string together a couple of wins, you'll be back in the thick of the playoff race. The image below shows how the playoff odds have developed over the last 12 seasons from Week 1 through Week 4:
  
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The theme of Week 1 of the NFL was no lead was safe.聽 Several teams on Sunday had two-possession or better leads only for their opponents to come back and at least make a game of it.聽 As much as fans hate preseason football, Week 1 shows why it is a necessary evil. There were blocked punts, blocked field goals, and poor clock management by coaches and players alike.聽
 
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For all the mistakes and miscues, the games were still exciting.聽 In the excitement there were a few surprises that stood out.聽 Here are the top five surprises from Week 1.
 
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Okay, for most people it is no surprise that Romo had a poor game.聽 However, it is a surprise that he did it so early.聽 Romo usually waits till the game is on the line to throw <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Michael-Kors-Ceramic-Watches>Michael Kors Discount</a>  an ill-advised pass.聽 On Sunday, he appeared to just want to force the ball to  no matter what the coverage was around him.聽 He normally gets fans hopes up and then lets them down.聽 Maybe this season he will start poorly and work his way to elite play late in the season.聽
 
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Fantasy general managers everywhere are putting in wavier claims on Hurns.聽 He was an undrafted free agent out of Miami.聽 In the first half against the Philadelphia <a href=http://www.radiorcs.com/page.php?sale=Old-Kate-Spade-Handbags>Kate Spade Handbags Outlet</a>  Eagles he looked like a Pro Bowl veteran.聽 He had four catches, 110 yards receiving, and two touchdowns.聽 Unfortunately, in the second half the Eagles made an adjustment and he was unable to help his team not blow a 17-point lead.聽
 
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Miami Dolphins:
 
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The Dolphins came out on defense; they got a three-and-out, blocked a punt, and capitalized on good field position to score a touchdown.聽 It appeared after that everything returned to normal and the New England Patriots would win the game easily.聽 However, these Dolphins didn鈥檛 quit.聽  did the heavy lifting rushing for 134 yards and a touchdown.聽 The defense harassed  causing him to fumble twice.聽 Those fumbles helped the Dolphins come back and defeat the Patriots.聽
 
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Terrance West:
 
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was supposed to be the big pickup that the Cleveland Browns brought in to improve their running game.聽 He was okay on Sunday with six carries for 41 yards but got hurt. <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Tory-Burch-Rowan-Boot>Tory Burch Rowan Boot</a>  Third-round pick West entered the game and showed what he could do.聽 He ran for 100 yards on 16 carries.聽 He definitely showed that he is capable of carrying the load if need be.聽
 
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Brown took putting your best foot forward to another level.聽 While returning a punt he attempted to jump over the punter and instead did his best Anderson Silva impersonation and kicked him in the face.聽 When Brown was not showing off his martial arts skills he was catching five passes for 116 yards and two touchdowns helping the Pittsburgh Steelers secure a win.聽聽
 
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Photo Courtesy: Gene J. Puskar/Associated Press
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In principle, there's no reason why the Cowboys shouldn't be able to win their next couple of games, and climb back to 50% playoff odds by Week 3 with a 2-1 record. In principle.
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But that assumes that the Cowboys did indeed stumble out of the block on Sunday, and <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Outlet-Online-Wholesale-Clothing-Handbags-Cheap-Material.html>Gucci Outlet Online</a>  that their loss to the  is not indicative of a bigger issue. If it's the latter, then this chart has an ugly message: Another loss would drop the Cowboys' playoff odds to a little below one in 10, and three consecutive losses to start the season means we can start planning for next year.
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And I for one do not want to look at mock drafts in September.

Revision as of 22:38, 30 September 2014

@@@ Not so fast. Since realignment in 2002, 98 of the 144 playoff <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Sale-Online-Authentic-Wallet-Group-Coupons.html>Gucci Sale Online</a> teams won their season opener. But 46 teams made the playoffs after losing their season opener. Because of the brevity of the NFL season with just 16 games, every game carries an inordinate weight in determining a team's playoff odds. After just one week of play, the playoff odds have shifted significantly from the 37.5% all teams shared before kickoff weekend. Overall, 51% of the teams who have won their season opener since 2002 also made the playoffs (98 of 192 teams). Conversely, only 24% of the teams that lost their season opener eventually made the playoffs over the same period (46/192). Yet nothing is lost for teams like the , who stumbled out of the gate on opening weekend. Because the brevity of the NFL season also means that if <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-Mens-Clothing-Chain-Bangle-Watch.html>Gucci Chain</a> you string together a couple of wins, you'll be back in the thick of the playoff race. The image below shows how the playoff odds have developed over the last 12 seasons from Week 1 through Week 4:


In principle, there's no reason why the Cowboys shouldn't be able to win their next couple of games, and climb back to 50% playoff odds by Week 3 with a 2-1 record. In principle. But that assumes that the Cowboys did indeed stumble out of the block on Sunday, and <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Outlet-Online-Wholesale-Clothing-Handbags-Cheap-Material.html>Gucci Outlet Online</a> that their loss to the is not indicative of a bigger issue. If it's the latter, then this chart has an ugly message: Another loss would drop the Cowboys' playoff odds to a little below one in 10, and three consecutive losses to start the season means we can start planning for next year. And I for one do not want to look at mock drafts in September.

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