Difference between revisions of "User:RahalMccall69"

Revision as of 00:26, 1 October 2014

@@@ A couple notes: the cut-off for a QBR drop that I considered significant was a drop of around 20 points. Some QBs barely missed the <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-S-I-Walet.html>I Gucci</a> cut-offs (see Roethlisberger), but I decided to include them anyways. Also, Rodgers obviously didn't have a "bad" game week 1, but he did drop his QBR by ~30 points, so I decided to include him as well. Let's Take a Closer Look.

The average change in yearly QBR for these QBs is -11.68

This is actually the most disheartening statistic. What this really means is that Romo will probably have a significantly worse season this year, judging by his performance in the first game. None of the QBs who had a significant drop in their first game was able to even get close to their previous year's performance (at least in terms of QBR).

No QB had a drop as drastic as Romo did

This kind of builds on the previous point, but Romo had a drop of -35.9 points. In our group of QBs only Rodgers gets close to that, and he was playing with a completely ridiculous 122.5 QBR the previous year. What this means is that the Romo we know and love could be a lot worse than we had hoped this year, maybe one of the worst years yet. This does not bode well for the team. However...

Out of all the teams with QBs that we able to stay above 80 QBR, only the  and  had a losing record

Okay, now we're talking blue kool-aid. Yeah, yeah I know correlation, causation whatever, but the fact remains there's some knowledge to be gained here. This is actually the main reason why <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-For-Women-Mens-Rings-Socks.html>Cheap Gucci Handbags</a> I think the might not be so bad this year. Looking at the teams that ended badly: Redskins are always a shaky team, especially in these past few years with RG3's knee and all. The Saints in 2012 had a horrible defense that gave up the most yards and second most points. I really doubt Romo's supporting cast this year could be as bad as those two teams. So there's still a little bit of hope for our Cowboys, especially since the 2013 won their division 12-4. Bad news is, none of the teams who had QBs below 80 QBR made it to playoffs.

Good QBs...stay good

Again going off the previous point, all 3 of the "elite" (ugh) Quarterbacks who laid an egg their first game still managed a pretty good QBR at the end of the year. Brady, Brees, and Rodgers each were above 87 QBR that year, and also still created a situation for their team to at least have a shot at a winning record. (Though <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Belts-Sale-Shorts-Ballet-Flats-Loafers.html>Gucci Loafers</a> we already discussed why Brees's 2012 team did not make it) I chose to think Romo is closer to Brees and Brady than he is to RGIII and Michael Vick, so there is reason to think Romo will bounce back better than expected. Conclusion Okay, so the prognosis isn't too great. Romo is all but certain to decline this year, and very few teams with a QB that has declined make it to playoffs. There is still a little bit of hope, as evidenced by both Rodgers and Brady, if Romo can at least maintain a respectable QBR and the defense maintains its performance from week 1, we could end up with a team that is at least vying for a wildcard spot. If not, however, we could be in for a pretty rough year.

Difference between revisions of "User:RahalMccall69"

Revision as of 00:26, 1 October 2014

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-Apparently no fan of conspiracy theories, Jeff Fisher called speculation that Shaun Hill was benched and wasn鈥檛 really injured 鈥渁bsurd鈥?during his Monday media session.鈥淭o clarify things once again, Shaun Hill strained a quad in the second quarter, and that was the <a href=http://www.alportico.net/gosoc.php> true religion uk</a>  reason he did not return,鈥?Fisher said.Fisher said Hill鈥檚 status is day-to-day this week but if healthy, he will start this Sunday at Tampa Bay.鈥淭here鈥檚 no issue there,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淪haun鈥檚 our quarterback, so if he鈥檚 healthy he starts. And that鈥檒l be the case throughout the season.鈥漇everal factors made the halftime quarterback change seem curious in the Rams鈥?34-6, season-opening loss to Minnesota. For one, Davis was already in for a few plays at the start of the second half before it was announced that Hill had a quad 鈥?or thigh 鈥?injury.鈥?RAMS CHAT: For another, there was no definitive play where Hill appeared to get injured, at least to the naked eye.鈥淭ypically, quad strains are the result of running,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淚t was not a contusion. It was not impact. It started to get sore earlier in the game as he was escaping pressure.鈥滷isher said he made the decision to go with Davis with input from Hill.鈥淲e discussed it in the locker room at halftime,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淲e discussed it after we came out on the field. He wanted to play, but he felt 鈥?he was in agreement with me 鈥?that the best thing for the immediate future here next week or the week to follow would be that he didn鈥檛 make it any worse.鈥淏ecause if you make it any worse, then you鈥檙e looking at a significant amount of (missed) play time.鈥滷isher said Hill wasn鈥檛 upset about the quarterback change. 鈥淗e totally understood,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淵ou know, he actually tried to throw that ball away.鈥滷isher was referring to Hill鈥檚 costly interception near the end of the first half.鈥淗e wasn鈥檛 trying to throw it to Cookie (tight end Jared Cook),鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淗e lacked the lower-body strength to make the throw. That was a concern of his.鈥漇crambling right to evade the Minnesota pass rush, Hill threw off his back foot into double coverage near the Rams鈥?sideline. Nickel back Josh Robinson made a leaping interception at the St. Louis 35, and the Vikings converted the takeaway into a touchdown right before the half to take a 13-0 lead.Hill didn鈥檛 appear to be limping when he came out in the second half and was still in uniform with no ice on the leg or any kind of wrap to be seen.鈥淗e felt like he could take a shotgun snap and throw the ball if we had <a href=http://capstone.edu.sg/images/gucciusaonlineoutlet.php> cheap gucci</a>  an issue with Austin,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淪o therefore, we kept him dressed and kept him on the sideline.鈥漀o. 3 quarterback Case Keenum was on the pregame inactive list.Hill declined to answer questions from reporters about the injury after the game, referring all queries to Fisher. He even declined to say how the injury occurred. That only fueled speculation that something was amiss.When Fisher met with reporters early Monday evening, he said he was unaware of any conspiracy theory rumblings about Hill being benched, not injured.鈥淚鈥檓 telling you the truth,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淚鈥檝e never, never messed around with the quarterback situation my entire career. I鈥檓 speaking truthfully. He had a quad strain, and I took him out of the game, period.鈥淥n the depth chart, he鈥檚 clearly ahead of Austin Davis. It鈥檚 not a negative commentary on Austin, but (Hill) gives us the best chance to win. If he can鈥檛 go, then Austin steps up and then he gives us the best chance to win.鈥滲ut as for conspiracy theories?鈥淭hat鈥檚 absurd,鈥?Fisher said.As he spoke Monday, Fisher wasn鈥檛 sure if Hill would be able to practice Wednesday, when the team returns to practice. The plan is to give Davis more work this week with the starters, just in case.Making his first start since 2010, Hill started the game by completing his first five passes but completed only three of his final eight to end the half. The misses in order:鈥?Running back Zac Stacy dropped a screen pass that could鈥檝e gone for good yardage on the Rams鈥?second possession.鈥?Flushed out of the pocket and under pressure, he threw away a pass on a play in which Kenny Britt was the nearest receiver early in the second quarter.鈥?Referee Ed Hochuli picked up a flag on what appeared to be an illegal contact or pass interference penalty on a deep ball to Brian Quick on the Rams鈥?fourth series.鈥?<a href=http://capstone.edu.sg/images/gucciusaonlineoutlet.php> cheap gucci</a>  Two plays later, on a miscommunication between Britt and Hill, Hill threw deep and Britt cut his route off short. The ball hit the turf well beyond anyone on the field.鈥?And then came the interception.So you could make the case that the only truly bad throw by Hill in the first half was the interception.鈥淪haun was effective,鈥?Fisher said. 鈥淗e made plays. They pressured him; we expected them to pressure him as anybody would a backup quarterback.鈥淏ut I thought he was effective. You saw the throws he made. The timing throws that he made. He was under pressure. We had a protection issue. ... But I thought had he stayed in game we would鈥檝e had a chance.鈥淩ealistically speaking, we鈥檙e two plays away from going into the locker room at halftime 6-3. Make a field goal, throw that (interception) away. Punt it away. Even with 2 minutes left to go in the third quarter, we鈥檙e down 10. You normally think you鈥檇 have a shot with the veteran quarterback.鈥滻t was 6-0 and not 6-3 before the Hill interception and the resulting Minnesota TD because Greg Zuerlein barely missed a 50-yard field goal, wide left, on the Rams鈥?second possession.
+A couple notes: the cut-off for a QBR drop that I considered significant was a drop of around 20 points. Some QBs barely missed the <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Handbags-Outlet-S-I-Walet.html>I Gucci</a>  cut-offs (see Roethlisberger), but I decided to include them anyways. Also, Rodgers obviously didn't have a "bad" game week 1, but he did drop his QBR by ~30 points, so I decided to include him as well.
+Let's Take a Closer Look.
+ The average change in yearly QBR for these QBs is -11.68
+This is actually the most disheartening statistic. What this really means is that Romo will probably have a significantly worse season this year, judging by his performance in the first game. None of the QBs who had a significant drop in their first game was able to even get close to their previous year's performance (at least in terms of QBR).
+ No QB had a drop as drastic as Romo did
+This kind of builds on the previous point, but Romo had a drop of -35.9 points. In our group of QBs only Rodgers gets close to that, and he was playing with a completely ridiculous 122.5 QBR the previous year. What this means is that the Romo we know and love could be a lot worse than we had hoped this year, maybe one of the worst years yet. This does not bode well for the team. However...
+ Out of all the teams with QBs that we able to stay above 80 QBR, only the  and  had a losing record
+Okay, now we're talking blue kool-aid. Yeah, yeah I know correlation, causation whatever, but the fact remains there's some knowledge to be gained here. This is actually the main reason why <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Cheap-Gucci-Handbags-For-Women-Mens-Rings-Socks.html>Cheap Gucci Handbags</a>  I think the  might not be so bad this year. Looking at the teams that ended badly: Redskins are always a shaky team, especially in these past few years with RG3's knee and all. The Saints in 2012 had a horrible defense that gave up the most yards and second most points. I really doubt Romo's supporting cast this year could be as bad as those two teams. So there's still a little bit of hope for our Cowboys, especially since the 2013  won their division 12-4. Bad news is, none of the teams who had QBs below 80 QBR made it to playoffs.
+ Good QBs...stay good
+Again going off the previous point, all 3 of the "elite" (ugh) Quarterbacks who laid an egg their first game still managed a pretty good QBR at the end of the year. Brady, Brees, and Rodgers each were above 87 QBR that year, and also still created a situation for their team to at least have a shot at a winning record. (Though <a href=http://www.aec-ist.com/css/Gucci-Belts-Sale-Shorts-Ballet-Flats-Loafers.html>Gucci Loafers</a>  we already discussed why Brees's 2012 team did not make it) I chose to think Romo is closer to Brees and Brady than he is to RGIII and Michael Vick, so there is reason to think Romo will bounce back better than expected.
+Conclusion
+Okay, so the prognosis isn't too great. Romo is all but certain to decline this year, and very few teams with a QB that has declined make it to playoffs. There is still a little bit of hope, as evidenced by both Rodgers and Brady, if Romo can at least maintain a respectable QBR and the defense maintains its performance from week 1, we could end up with a team that is at least vying for a wildcard spot. If not, however, we could be in for a pretty rough year.