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(5 Issues ailing the Seattle Mariners)
(A Look at Past NBA Champions)
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Despite dropping back-to-back series against the Texas Rangers and Washington Nationals last week, the Seattle Mariners have managed to remain just half a game back in the race for the second American League Wild Card.
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This article was inspired by Doug Thonus's recent article . It's certainly an interesting read, and it has an optimistic look at the  future. As anyone that has read my comments or articles in the past can attest to, I am more optimistic than some, but I still don't really believe the Bulls have a great chance at a championship this year. I'd like to address a few issues I have with Doug's article, and then suggest an alternative way of looking at these championship rosters.
The Mariners have been able to challenge for the postseason by overcoming a poor offense with an outstanding pitching staff. Many of the same issues that have plagued the Mariners all season long are continuing to do so in September.
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First, I have a problem with Doug's argument for the not having a star.
Seattle is currently chasing the Detroit Tigers, a team with far more talent than its record would indicate. If the Mariners are to make the playoffs, they <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Tory-Burch-Tunic-Sale>Tory Burch Tunic Sale</a>  will need to fix at least a few of these issues.
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If you pro-rated out the way they played this year to a whole career and removed past accomplishments, they'd have zero hall of fame players. The fact Duncan used to be a superstar and Ginobili used to be an all-star caliber player is irrelevant.
鈥?health
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I have a problem with this because the reason they would not be high caliber players is mostly due to lack of playing time in <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Tory-Burch-Rabbit-Fur-Boots>Tory Burch Rabbit Fur Boots</a>  the regular season. is one year removed from averaging 21.3 pts, 11.3 reb, and 3.2 blks per 36 minutes. While he didn't quite get there this year, unless you think his ability level dropped drastically in one offseason, Duncan still has a ton of inherent talent. He simply needs to be rested more in the regular season. Furthermore, Duncan put up a 21.1 PER on 56.8 TS% while playing 32+MPG in the playoffs this season. If he did that throughout the regular season, he would have been one of only  to do so. The bottom line is that Duncan still had the ability to play like a top 20 player, and he did it when it counted. This overlooks  as well. He put up 20pts, 7ast, on 55.5% TS% per 36 minutes. Those are great numbers for a PG and would easily make him an all star (which he was by the way). Manu's PER 36 numbers were great too. 19.5pts and 6.8 ast per 36 minutes. That means the Spurs had two guys that were capable of putting up 20 pt 7 ast games when given the minutes. Just because the Spurs were underused, doesn't mean they shouldn't be valued.
Saunders has not played since July 10 after straining his left oblique on a checked swing. Early September was the original target date for Saunders to return, but he was recalled from a rehab assignment last week due to a viral infection.
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I liked how Doug looked at how many superstar, star, and fringe all star type players each team had. However, when you start comparing the Bulls to the <a href=http://www.radiorcs.com/page.php?sale=Kate-Spade-Designs>Kate Spade Bag</a>  2011 Mavs or the current Spurs team, I think it's important to know what kind of depth/role players/borderline stars each team has.
The Mariners need Saunders back in the lineup sooner rather than later. Before the injury, Saunders owned a 114 wRC+, third-best on the team behind  and .
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The league average in the 2013 season (couldn't find current) for percentage of field goals assisted was 60.6% and the average TS% was 53.6%. What I want to find is how many players among each teams top 8 rotation players that were able to effectively get their own shot. I looked to find players who were assisted on less than 55% of their FGs while maintaining a league average (I went with 54%) TS%. I could have been more advanced with this, but this seemed simple enough. Here is what I found:
Unfortunately, Saunders has lost weight while battling the infection and reported to the Arizona League on Monday to try and regain his strength. It could be another couple of weeks before Saunders is ready to return, meaning the Mariners will have to continue to replace his production elsewhere.
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Production from right field and designated hitter
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13/14 Spurs
With Saunders out, right field has been one of the major weaknesses in Seattle鈥檚 lineup. has given starts to , , and in right, but none of them are going to be able to produce as much as Saunders.
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Ginobli - 54% assisted, 59.0 TS%
Denorfia was a solid <a href=http://www.radiorcs.com/page.php?sale=Green-Kate-Spade-Handbag>Kate Spade Handbags Outlet</a>  pickup at the trade deadline as a fourth outfielder, as he can provide value defensively and on the bases. However, his offense is not enough to justify an everyday starting job, as he has posted just a .487 OPS since the trade deadline.
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Parker - 36% assisted, 55.5 TS%
Chavez is also more suited to be a fourth outfielder or platoon guy and Romero has been below replacement level. Nobody is going to fully replace Saunders, but the Mariners need some production from right.
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Leonard - 59% assisted, 60.2 TS%
The other position Seattle would like to see more out of is DH.  has improved from a lethargic start by posting a 100 wRC+ in August, but he needs to be better than league-average in September.
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Diaw - 65% asisted, 57.8 TS%
If Morales matches his 117 wRC+ of a season ago down the stretch, the Mariners will be in good shape.
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Duncan - 67% assisted, 53.5 TS%
鈥檚 declining numbers
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Green - 83% assisted, 58.0 TS%
General manager Jack Zduriencik swung a brilliant trade at the deadline by bringing in a successful major league outfielder in Jackson at the cost of , who was buried in Triple-A.
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Mills - 57% assisted, 58.8 TS%
It hasn鈥檛 worked out quite as well as the Mariners have hoped, as Jackson has just a .599 OPS since the deal. Jackson鈥檚 power has declined the most, as he only has five extra-base hits over the past month plus.
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Marco - 80% assisted,60.5 TS%
The Mariners have been able to mask Jackson鈥檚 slump thanks to the red-hot  and a nice month from Morrison, but they need him to do a better job at the top of the order moving forward.
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Splitter - 67% assisted, 57.2 TS%
鈥檚 last start
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I used 9 here because the personnel varied a bit in the regular season as opposed to the playoffs. As you can see, Ginobli and Parker seem adept at creating for themselves <a href=http://www.alportico.net/page.php?sale=Gucci-Online-Sale>Gucci Online Sale</a>  and while Leonard doesn't quite make the cutoff, my suspicion is that if he were a bit more aggressive offensively, his TS% would drop a bit, but he would be assisted a bit less. Mills barely misses the cutoff as well. From my perspective, it seems the Spurs have two players that can get their own shot, two in Leonard and Mills that are borderline, and Duncan and Splitter have decent numbers for post players whose assisted % is usually a bit higher.
Young had the worst start of his career on Monday, giving up five runs to the Oakland Athletics in just two-thirds on an inning. While that start is by no means indicative of what Young will provide over the rest of the season, there is some concern as his innings begin to pile up.
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10-11 Mavs
It seems as though Young will have to regress at some point due to his low strikeout rate and extreme fly ball tendencies. 聽Young has outperformed his peripherals routinely throughout his career, but nobody could have expected him to post a 3.46 ERA in 2014.
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Young is going to perform worse on the <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Tory-Burch-Discount-Flats>Tory Burch Discount Flats</a>  road than in Safeco Field, but if he struggles that badly again Sunday in Texas it might be time to get concerned.聽
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鈥檚 power slump
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It鈥檚 pretty easy to analyze what Zunino brings to the table at this point in his career. Zunino isn鈥檛 going to have a high average or on-base percentage, but his tremendous power and excellent defense make him a valuable player anyway.
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Lately, the power hasn鈥檛 been there. Zunino hit two home runs and slugged .270 in August, the lowest marks for any month this season.
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With how often Zunino strikes out, he becomes a liability at the plate if he鈥檚 not hitting for power. The Mariners need the home run boost further down in the order, rather than just relying on Cano and Seager to provide it all.
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Photo Credit: Elaine Thompson / Associated Press
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Revision as of 22:01, 1 October 2014

This article was inspired by Doug Thonus's recent article . It's certainly an interesting read, and it has an optimistic look at the future. As anyone that has read my comments or articles in the past can attest to, I am more optimistic than some, but I still don't really believe the Bulls have a great chance at a championship this year. I'd like to address a few issues I have with Doug's article, and then suggest an alternative way of looking at these championship rosters. First, I have a problem with Doug's argument for the not having a star. If you pro-rated out the way they played this year to a whole career and removed past accomplishments, they'd have zero hall of fame players. The fact Duncan used to be a superstar and Ginobili used to be an all-star caliber player is irrelevant. I have a problem with this because the reason they would not be high caliber players is mostly due to lack of playing time in <a href=http://www.avanttravel.com/page.php?sale=Tory-Burch-Rabbit-Fur-Boots>Tory Burch Rabbit Fur Boots</a> the regular season. is one year removed from averaging 21.3 pts, 11.3 reb, and 3.2 blks per 36 minutes. While he didn't quite get there this year, unless you think his ability level dropped drastically in one offseason, Duncan still has a ton of inherent talent. He simply needs to be rested more in the regular season. Furthermore, Duncan put up a 21.1 PER on 56.8 TS% while playing 32+MPG in the playoffs this season. If he did that throughout the regular season, he would have been one of only to do so. The bottom line is that Duncan still had the ability to play like a top 20 player, and he did it when it counted. This overlooks as well. He put up 20pts, 7ast, on 55.5% TS% per 36 minutes. Those are great numbers for a PG and would easily make him an all star (which he was by the way). Manu's PER 36 numbers were great too. 19.5pts and 6.8 ast per 36 minutes. That means the Spurs had two guys that were capable of putting up 20 pt 7 ast games when given the minutes. Just because the Spurs were underused, doesn't mean they shouldn't be valued. I liked how Doug looked at how many superstar, star, and fringe all star type players each team had. However, when you start comparing the Bulls to the <a href=http://www.radiorcs.com/page.php?sale=Kate-Spade-Designs>Kate Spade Bag</a> 2011 Mavs or the current Spurs team, I think it's important to know what kind of depth/role players/borderline stars each team has. The league average in the 2013 season (couldn't find current) for percentage of field goals assisted was 60.6% and the average TS% was 53.6%. What I want to find is how many players among each teams top 8 rotation players that were able to effectively get their own shot. I looked to find players who were assisted on less than 55% of their FGs while maintaining a league average (I went with 54%) TS%. I could have been more advanced with this, but this seemed simple enough. Here is what I found:

13/14 Spurs Ginobli - 54% assisted, 59.0 TS% Parker - 36% assisted, 55.5 TS% Leonard - 59% assisted, 60.2 TS% Diaw - 65% asisted, 57.8 TS% Duncan - 67% assisted, 53.5 TS% Green - 83% assisted, 58.0 TS% Mills - 57% assisted, 58.8 TS% Marco - 80% assisted,60.5 TS% Splitter - 67% assisted, 57.2 TS% I used 9 here because the personnel varied a bit in the regular season as opposed to the playoffs. As you can see, Ginobli and Parker seem adept at creating for themselves <a href=http://www.alportico.net/page.php?sale=Gucci-Online-Sale>Gucci Online Sale</a> and while Leonard doesn't quite make the cutoff, my suspicion is that if he were a bit more aggressive offensively, his TS% would drop a bit, but he would be assisted a bit less. Mills barely misses the cutoff as well. From my perspective, it seems the Spurs have two players that can get their own shot, two in Leonard and Mills that are borderline, and Duncan and Splitter have decent numbers for post players whose assisted % is usually a bit higher. 10-11 Mavs

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